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Red383
177200.9
1699153.1
3555166.4
Blue384
195242.5
5962121.1
4176133.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370362200300400500600383384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
200.90.6
196.9197.6
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
blue by 41.6
195
#1
242.51.8
238.4240.2
Auto27.2
Teleop178.3
End35.4
Second
3555
#34
166.40.3
165.2165.5
Auto20.8
Teleop122.3
End22.8
red by 32.8
4176
#41
133.70.4
131.8132.1
Auto17.1
Teleop101.6
End19.0
Third
1699
#61
153.10.2
153.6153.4
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
red by 32.0
5962
#46
121.11.0
122.8121.7
Auto18.3
Teleop87.7
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed46%Face the Boss oddsEarned