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Red458
95181.2
4564191.2
3623163.7
Blue332
4909167.0
237173.5
5735143.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262820100200500600700458332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#24
191.20.6
193.2192.6
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End18.6
red by 17.6
237
#27
173.50.1
172.7172.5
Auto20.7
Teleop126.8
End25.9
Second
95
#29
181.20.0
180.5180.5
Auto17.2
Teleop143.0
End21.7
red by 14.2
4909
#40
167.00.7
167.6166.9
Auto17.6
Teleop125.9
End26.0
Third
3623
#21
163.71.1
160.7161.7
Auto21.1
Teleop119.8
End22.8
red by 20.5
5735
#54
143.20.4
143.0142.6
Auto24.1
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned