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Red308
687174.6
2403183.8
968171.3
Blue343
1982143.9
5654178.9
1251147.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426303100200500600700800900308343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#11
183.82.5
172.1174.6
Auto24.2
Teleop136.8
End23.0
red by 4.9
5654
#22
178.90.5
184.2183.7
Auto20.3
Teleop130.7
End26.9
Second
687
#15
174.60.5
166.9167.4
Auto27.5
Teleop127.8
End20.0
red by 26.9
1251
#18
147.81.0
134.9135.9
Auto18.4
Teleop110.5
End17.2
Third
968
#16
171.32.0
163.1165.2
Auto23.7
Teleop132.4
End16.2
red by 27.4
1982
#42
143.90.7
142.3143.0
Auto20.3
Teleop113.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed