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Red456
1011183.6
1648196.6
6474173.2
Blue183
7128103.0
3853166.6
3128176.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4192400100200300500600700456183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.60.5
183.8184.2
Auto21.0
Teleop155.0
End18.7
red by 20.1
3128
#24
176.50.0
173.0173.0
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
Second
1011
#14
183.60.6
172.0172.6
Auto24.5
Teleop140.5
End20.7
red by 17.0
166.61.0
154.4155.5
Auto19.6
Teleop122.8
End27.9
Third
6474
#30
173.20.6
166.0166.6
Auto19.7
Teleop130.9
End21.3
red by 70.2
7128
#64
103.00.6
99.699.0
Auto17.0
Teleop76.3
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed