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Red227
3472131.6
5802199.3
6377141.3
Blue412
2905109.4
971204.2
3309216.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309407100200500600700227412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#50
199.31.7
195.1196.8
Auto22.6
Teleop150.3
End23.4
blue by 17.3
216.60.8
208.1208.9
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
6377
#46
141.30.2
136.3136.5
Auto14.4
Teleop109.6
End17.4
blue by 62.9
971
#9
204.21.0
199.5200.5
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.8
Third
3472
#66
131.61.7
130.1131.8
Auto14.9
Teleop100.7
End16.0
red by 22.2
2905
#54
109.41.3
105.5106.7
Auto15.8
Teleop80.6
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed47%Face the Boss oddsEarned