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Red323
812131.6
5726117.1
3501150.3
Blue514
6377141.3
6424163.0
832182.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274417100200300500600323514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#62
150.30.2
150.1150.3
Auto17.5
Teleop120.4
End11.5
blue by 32.0
832
#52
182.21.1
181.1182.2
Auto20.4
Teleop132.5
End32.0
Second
812
#55
131.61.6
130.0131.6
Auto18.2
Teleop103.9
End12.0
blue by 31.4
6424
#27
163.01.4
164.4163.0
Auto18.2
Teleop124.4
End17.4
Third
5726
#58
117.10.2
117.3117.1
Auto16.6
Teleop85.7
End16.6
blue by 24.1
6377
#46
141.30.9
140.2141.0
Auto14.4
Teleop109.6
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed