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Red416
5554183.3
2905109.4
3164139.6
Blue296
5098129.1
1723200.9
5700138.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3293600100200400500600700416296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#36
183.31.0
180.7181.7
Auto19.9
Teleop133.3
End29.4
blue by 17.6
1723
#37
200.90.2
200.6200.8
Auto23.9
Teleop147.9
End30.4
Second
3164
#25
139.61.0
138.1139.1
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End19.5
red by 1.2
5700
#67
138.42.5
140.9138.4
Auto18.8
Teleop97.0
End19.6
Third
2905
#54
109.40.6
108.8109.4
Auto15.8
Teleop80.6
End13.1
blue by 19.6
5098
#57
129.10.2
128.9129.1
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned