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Red367
4125125.2
5199178.1
7303112.4
Blue436
6645100.9
5104144.9
624230.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793840100200500600367436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#23
178.10.4
176.3176.8
Auto24.1
Teleop127.7
End24.4
blue by 52.4
624
#8
230.50.4
230.8230.5
Auto26.5
Teleop161.0
End41.9
Second
4125
#45
125.20.7
124.5125.2
Auto17.6
Teleop97.7
End11.6
blue by 19.7
5104
#12
144.90.1
145.0144.8
Auto16.6
Teleop111.7
End15.1
Third
7303
#56
112.40.8
113.2112.4
Auto17.8
Teleop85.4
End10.2
red by 11.5
6645
#41
100.91.0
99.9100.9
Auto16.5
Teleop79.6
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsEarned