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Red498
3140154.9
4513187.5
6508164.0
Blue107
5663177.0
1868139.1
6891102.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052780100200500600700498107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#10
187.50.5
186.4186.9
Auto22.1
Teleop143.3
End20.5
red by 10.5
5663
#20
177.00.4
177.0177.4
Auto20.8
Teleop140.5
End11.9
Second
6508
#33
164.00.2
163.8164.0
Auto20.2
Teleop118.7
End25.0
red by 24.9
1868
#59
139.11.1
138.0139.1
Auto17.1
Teleop108.7
End13.2
Third
3140
#28
154.91.1
153.8154.9
Auto18.9
Teleop122.1
End15.7
red by 52.1
6891
#60
102.80.8
101.9102.8
Auto15.3
Teleop76.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed