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Red337
6891102.8
1982143.9
7303112.4
Blue76
2905109.4
5849115.8
7067122.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29529310015020025033776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#42
143.91.0
143.0144.0
Auto20.3
Teleop113.0
End7.3
red by 21.0
7067
#61DQ
122.90.1
127.9127.8
Auto18.9
Teleop89.4
End13.8
Second
7303
#56
112.40.3
114.5114.3
Auto17.8
Teleop85.4
End10.2
blue by 3.4
5849
#53DQ
115.80.1
119.5119.5
Auto14.5
Teleop81.0
End22.1
Third
6891
#60
102.81.4
104.2102.8
Auto15.3
Teleop76.0
End9.1
blue by 6.7
2905
#54
109.41.0
106.7107.8
Auto15.8
Teleop80.6
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed