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Red387
5554183.3
4576132.7
971204.2
Blue447
2403183.8
6871116.5
1648196.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373348200300400500600387447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
204.21.0
200.5201.5
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.8
red by 7.6
196.60.8
184.2185.0
Auto21.0
Teleop155.0
End18.7
Second
5554
#36
183.31.0
174.1175.1
Auto19.9
Teleop133.3
End29.4
blue by 0.5
2403
#11
183.81.2
174.6175.8
Auto24.2
Teleop136.8
End23.0
Third
4576
#32
132.70.8
122.3123.1
Auto16.5
Teleop99.9
End17.8
red by 16.2
6871
#34
116.50.2
122.5122.2
Auto16.8
Teleop83.9
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed