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Red314
6508164.0
2905109.4
4270123.3
Blue389
3158127.1
2403183.8
170093.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306313200250350400450314389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6508
#33
164.01.2
163.0164.2
Auto20.2
Teleop118.7
End25.0
blue by 19.8
2403
#11
183.81.2
175.8177.0
Auto24.2
Teleop136.8
End23.0
Second
4270
#49
123.30.3
120.4120.1
Auto17.4
Teleop91.9
End14.9
blue by 3.8
3158
#19
127.10.5
122.6122.1
Auto19.4
Teleop95.9
End12.7
Third
2905
#54
109.40.5
107.8107.3
Auto15.8
Teleop80.6
End13.1
red by 16.3
1700
#51
93.10.5
98.898.3
Auto16.9
Teleop70.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed