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Red291
812131.6
832182.2
5997147.5
Blue291
5098129.1
1011183.6
3472131.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328328200250300350400450291291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#52
182.2
Auto20.4
Teleop132.5
End32.0
blue by 1.3
1011
#14
183.6
Auto24.5
Teleop140.5
End20.7
Second
5997
#43
147.5
Auto15.2
Teleop108.3
End23.6
red by 15.8
3472
#66
131.6
Auto14.9
Teleop100.7
End16.0
Third
812
#55
131.6
Auto18.2
Teleop103.9
End12.0
red by 2.5
5098
#57
129.1
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed