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Qual 272018 Newton Division
Red382
604169.8
118228.6
6510155.7
Blue268
1982143.9
3473142.3
3310216.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40130202006008001,0001,200382268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
228.60.0
230.2→230.2
Auto26.8
Teleop164.4
End34.9
red by 12.0
3310
#1
216.60.6
208.0→208.6
Auto25.2
Teleop165.3
End26.6
Second
604
#31
169.80.4
172.4→172.0
Auto17.6
Teleop137.8
End12.7
red by 25.9
1982
#42
143.91.0
144.0→145.0
Auto20.3
Teleop113.0
End7.3
Third
6510
#26
155.70.4
149.3→149.7
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
red by 13.4
3473
#40
142.30.0
140.7→140.8
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
63%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed