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Red157
6424163.0
2840121.2
5098129.1
Blue402
4468150.7
3472131.6
968171.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291376100200500600700157402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#27
163.00.4
171.7172.1
Auto18.2
Teleop124.4
End17.4
blue by 8.3
968
#16
171.30.5
166.6167.2
Auto23.7
Teleop132.4
End16.2
Second
5098
#57
129.10.0
130.0130.0
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
blue by 21.6
4468
#35
150.70.2
148.6148.4
Auto16.9
Teleop117.2
End17.0
Third
2840
#65
121.20.6
120.7120.1
Auto17.5
Teleop90.1
End15.2
blue by 10.5
3472
#66
131.60.1
132.4132.3
Auto14.9
Teleop100.7
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed