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Red322
6871116.5
2980136.6
971204.2
Blue187
604169.8
1868139.1
5726117.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543010100200400500600700322187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
204.20.7
202.4203.1
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.8
red by 34.5
604
#31
169.80.5
172.0171.5
Auto17.6
Teleop137.8
End12.7
Second
2980
#29
136.60.1
135.1135.2
Auto15.5
Teleop105.4
End17.3
blue by 2.6
1868
#59
139.10.0
139.9139.9
Auto17.1
Teleop108.7
End13.2
Third
6871
#34
116.50.9
122.3121.4
Auto16.8
Teleop83.9
End15.8
blue by 0.6
5726
#58
117.11.1
114.6115.8
Auto16.6
Teleop85.7
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed