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Red431
3853166.6
2367127.6
5199178.1
Blue370
832182.2
4061157.2
7303112.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327316250300350400431370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#23
178.11.6
169.1170.6
Auto24.1
Teleop127.7
End24.4
blue by 4.1
832
#52
182.20.4
176.9176.5
Auto20.4
Teleop132.5
End32.0
Second
166.60.2
156.7156.8
Auto19.6
Teleop122.8
End27.9
red by 9.4
4061
#21
157.20.8
148.7149.5
Auto24.0
Teleop116.9
End16.6
Third
2367
#17
127.60.3
120.8120.5
Auto17.7
Teleop97.5
End15.4
red by 15.2
7303
#56
112.40.6
114.3113.7
Auto17.8
Teleop85.4
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed