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Red170
7137118.3
3128176.5
5700138.4
Blue448
1678252.8
3310216.6
2403183.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2015060100300400600700800170448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#24
176.50.4
173.3173.7
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
blue by 76.3
252.80.1
252.0251.8
Auto29.4
Teleop173.0
End49.2
Second
5700
#67
138.41.3
147.4146.2
Auto18.8
Teleop97.0
End19.6
blue by 78.2
216.60.2
208.6208.8
Auto25.2
Teleop165.3
End26.6
Third
7137
#48
118.30.8
115.7116.5
Auto14.9
Teleop86.7
End17.7
blue by 65.5
2403
#11
183.81.4
178.0179.4
Auto24.2
Teleop136.8
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed92%Face the Boss oddsEarned