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Red306
832182.2
7134107.3
3140154.9
Blue368
5104144.9
604169.8
968171.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274388100200500600700306368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#52
182.20.3
176.5176.9
Auto20.4
Teleop132.5
End32.0
red by 10.9
968
#16
171.30.7
167.2167.9
Auto23.7
Teleop132.4
End16.2
Second
3140
#28
154.90.4
153.5153.1
Auto18.9
Teleop122.1
End15.7
blue by 14.9
604
#31
169.81.0
171.5170.5
Auto17.6
Teleop137.8
End12.7
Third
7134
#44
107.30.1
103.7103.8
Auto17.3
Teleop81.5
End10.7
blue by 37.7
5104
#12
144.90.4
146.8146.5
Auto16.6
Teleop111.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed