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Red250
3481170.5
6645100.9
2905109.4
Blue443
5663177.0
1011183.6
3473142.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1854120100300500600700250443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#38
170.50.8
174.8174.0
Auto20.1
Teleop125.1
End24.1
blue by 13.1
1011
#14
183.60.5
174.1174.6
Auto24.5
Teleop140.5
End20.7
Second
2905
#54
109.40.1
107.4107.3
Auto15.8
Teleop80.6
End13.1
blue by 67.6
5663
#20
177.01.9
168.1170.0
Auto20.8
Teleop140.5
End11.9
Third
6645
#41
100.90.1
98.398.5
Auto16.5
Teleop79.6
End8.0
blue by 41.4
3473
#40
142.30.2
140.5140.7
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed