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Red272
3128176.5
6474173.2
3140154.9
Blue363
971204.2
7303112.4
1619219.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322407200500600272363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#24
176.50.3
173.6173.8
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
blue by 42.5
219.01.4
214.5215.9
Auto25.2
Teleop156.0
End35.7
Second
6474
#30
173.20.9
168.9169.9
Auto19.7
Teleop130.9
End21.3
blue by 31.1
971
#9
204.20.1
203.5203.6
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.8
Third
3140
#28
154.90.0
153.1153.1
Auto18.9
Teleop122.1
End15.7
red by 42.5
7303
#56
112.40.3
113.7114.0
Auto17.8
Teleop85.4
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned84%Face the Boss oddsEarned