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Red468
3481170.5
5654178.9
1648196.6
Blue149
5726117.1
170093.1
6510155.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4681890100300400600700800468149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.62.3
188.4190.7
Auto21.0
Teleop155.0
End18.7
red by 40.8
6510
#26
155.71.2
149.8151.1
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
Second
5654
#22
178.91.5
182.0180.5
Auto20.3
Teleop130.7
End26.9
red by 61.8
5726
#58
117.10.7
116.2116.9
Auto16.6
Teleop85.7
End16.6
Third
3481
#38
170.50.4
174.0173.6
Auto20.1
Teleop125.1
End24.1
red by 77.3
1700
#51
93.10.1
97.397.2
Auto16.9
Teleop70.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed