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Red252
2905109.4
7137118.3
1723200.9
Blue294
604169.8
3737153.8
6645100.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310310200250350400450252294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#37
200.90.7
202.0201.3
Auto23.9
Teleop147.9
End30.4
red by 31.1
604
#31
169.80.9
170.5169.6
Auto17.6
Teleop137.8
End12.7
Second
7137
#48
118.30.3
116.7116.4
Auto14.9
Teleop86.7
End17.7
blue by 35.5
3737
#39
153.80.6
155.1154.5
Auto20.9
Teleop105.3
End26.2
Third
2905
#54
109.40.1
107.3107.4
Auto15.8
Teleop80.6
End13.1
red by 8.5
6645
#41
100.90.3
98.598.7
Auto16.5
Teleop79.6
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed