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Red254
5663177.0
5104144.9
4270123.3
Blue346
812131.6
2980136.6
1982143.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379253100200300500600700254346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5663
#20
177.02.3
170.0172.3
Auto20.8
Teleop140.5
End11.9
red by 33.1
1982
#42
143.91.3
145.7144.3
Auto20.3
Teleop113.0
End7.3
Second
5104
#12
144.90.4
146.5146.0
Auto16.6
Teleop111.7
End15.1
red by 8.4
2980
#29
136.60.6
135.0134.4
Auto15.5
Teleop105.4
End17.3
Third
4270
#49
123.31.0
120.5121.5
Auto17.4
Teleop91.9
End14.9
blue by 8.3
812
#55
131.61.4
121.9123.3
Auto18.2
Teleop103.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed