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Qual 682018 Newton Division
Red402
3140154.9
5849115.8
624230.5
Blue347
3737153.8
1011183.6
4061157.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338357250300400450402347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#8
230.50.5
231.5→231.0
Auto26.5
Teleop161.0
End41.9
red by 47.0
1011
#14
183.61.5
175.8→177.3
Auto24.5
Teleop140.5
End20.7
Second
3140
#28
154.90.0
153.1→153.2
Auto18.9
Teleop122.1
End15.7
blue by 2.3
4061
#21
157.21.2
152.3→153.5
Auto24.0
Teleop116.9
End16.6
Third
5849
#53
115.80.0
115.6→115.6
Auto14.5
Teleop81.0
End22.1
blue by 38.0
3737
#39
153.80.7
154.5→153.8
Auto20.9
Teleop105.3
End26.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
48%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed