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Red380
6645100.9
5098129.1
812131.6
Blue313
7134107.3
3158127.1
6871116.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277285200250300350400380313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#55
131.62.0
123.3125.3
Auto18.2
Teleop103.9
End12.0
red by 4.6
3158
#19
127.11.0
122.8123.8
Auto19.4
Teleop95.9
End12.7
Second
5098
#57
129.10.1
128.4128.2
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
red by 12.5
6871
#34
116.51.2
120.2119.1
Auto16.8
Teleop83.9
End15.8
Third
6645
#41
100.90.0
98.798.8
Auto16.5
Teleop79.6
End8.0
blue by 6.3
7134
#44
107.30.5
104.2104.7
Auto17.3
Teleop81.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed