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Red391
6891102.8
1251147.8
2840121.2
Blue487
6510155.7
7137118.3
3853166.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123750100300500600700391487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#18
147.81.1
140.9142.0
Auto18.4
Teleop110.5
End17.2
blue by 18.8
166.61.4
159.0160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop122.8
End27.9
Second
2840
#65
121.20.1
118.4118.3
Auto17.5
Teleop90.1
End15.2
blue by 34.5
6510
#26
155.70.7
151.1151.7
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
Third
6891
#60
102.80.3
100.5100.2
Auto15.3
Teleop76.0
End9.1
blue by 15.5
7137
#48
118.30.5
116.4115.9
Auto14.9
Teleop86.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned