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Red358
1648196.6
1982143.9
5104144.9
Blue347
1868139.1
7190119.7
6377141.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012440100200300500600700800358347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.61.8
190.7192.5
Auto21.0
Teleop155.0
End18.7
red by 55.3
6377
#46
141.31.2
135.8137.0
Auto14.4
Teleop109.6
End17.4
Second
5104
#12
144.90.5
146.0145.5
Auto16.6
Teleop111.7
End15.1
red by 5.8
1868
#59
139.10.7
138.6137.8
Auto17.1
Teleop108.7
End13.2
Third
1982
#42
143.90.2
144.3144.1
Auto20.3
Teleop113.0
End7.3
red by 24.2
7190
#63
119.70.3
119.0118.7
Auto14.5
Teleop91.6
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed