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Red234
118228.6
5098129.1
5726117.1
Blue431
6508164.0
624230.5
7137118.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333402200300500600700234431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
228.61.1
229.0230.1
Auto26.8
Teleop164.4
End34.9
blue by 2.0
624
#8
230.50.7
232.5233.2
Auto26.5
Teleop161.0
End41.9
Second
5098
#57
129.10.5
129.8130.3
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
blue by 34.9
6508
#33
164.01.1
160.6161.7
Auto20.2
Teleop118.7
End25.0
Third
5726
#58
117.11.4
112.1113.5
Auto16.6
Teleop85.7
End16.6
blue by 1.1
7137
#48
118.30.0
114.2114.2
Auto14.9
Teleop86.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsEarned