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Red352
3158127.1
3481170.5
4125125.2
Blue184
5997147.5
3140154.9
2980136.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334331200250300350400450352184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#38
170.51.7
170.6172.3
Auto20.1
Teleop125.1
End24.1
red by 15.6
3140
#28
154.90.7
153.6154.3
Auto18.9
Teleop122.1
End15.7
Second
3158
#19
127.10.4
123.7123.3
Auto19.4
Teleop95.9
End12.7
blue by 20.4
5997
#43
147.52.5
139.3141.8
Auto15.2
Teleop108.3
End23.6
Third
4125
#45
125.21.0
128.9128.0
Auto17.6
Teleop97.7
End11.6
blue by 11.3
2980
#29
136.60.2
135.3135.5
Auto15.5
Teleop105.4
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed