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Red326
7067122.9
3853166.6
2980136.6
Blue316
4576132.7
5700138.4
5654178.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35533902006008001,000326316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.62.0
160.4162.4
Auto19.6
Teleop122.8
End27.9
blue by 12.3
5654
#22
178.90.6
179.3178.7
Auto20.3
Teleop130.7
End26.9
Second
2980
#29
136.60.7
134.8135.5
Auto15.5
Teleop105.4
End17.3
blue by 1.9
5700
#67
138.41.4
143.5142.1
Auto18.8
Teleop97.0
End19.6
Third
7067
#61
122.90.3
122.3122.6
Auto18.9
Teleop89.4
End13.8
blue by 9.8
4576
#32
132.71.4
128.7130.0
Auto16.5
Teleop99.9
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed