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Red350
6510155.7
687174.6
4061157.2
Blue362
3128176.5
5104144.9
2905109.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398244100200300500600700800350362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
174.61.6
170.9172.5
Auto27.5
Teleop127.8
End20.0
blue by 1.9
3128
#24
176.50.2
174.1173.9
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
Second
4061
#21
157.21.2
153.5154.6
Auto24.0
Teleop116.9
End16.6
red by 12.3
5104
#12
144.90.7
145.5144.8
Auto16.6
Teleop111.7
End15.1
Third
6510
#26
155.71.4
151.7153.2
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
red by 46.3
2905
#54
109.40.6
107.2107.8
Auto15.8
Teleop80.6
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed