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Red158
6645100.9
2367127.6
3472131.6
Blue375
1648196.6
1868139.1
3164139.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1974100100300500600700158375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#66
131.60.4
132.0131.6
Auto14.9
Teleop100.7
End16.0
blue by 64.9
196.61.2
192.5193.7
Auto21.0
Teleop155.0
End18.7
Second
2367
#17
127.61.6
123.3125.0
Auto17.7
Teleop97.5
End15.4
blue by 12.0
3164
#25
139.60.0
137.9137.9
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End19.5
Third
6645
#41
100.90.7
98.899.4
Auto16.5
Teleop79.6
End8.0
blue by 38.2
1868
#59
139.10.0
137.8137.8
Auto17.1
Teleop108.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed