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Red381
7134107.3
4513187.5
1619219.0
Blue346
3501150.3
1723200.9
2840121.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4013050100200500600700381346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219.01.6
216.9218.5
Auto25.2
Teleop156.0
End35.7
red by 18.1
1723
#37
200.90.3
200.5200.2
Auto23.9
Teleop147.9
End30.4
Second
4513
#10
187.50.7
184.8185.5
Auto22.1
Teleop143.3
End20.5
red by 37.2
3501
#62
150.30.6
150.6150.0
Auto17.5
Teleop120.4
End11.5
Third
7134
#44
107.30.8
104.7105.4
Auto17.3
Teleop81.5
End10.7
blue by 13.9
2840
#65
121.21.1
118.3119.4
Auto17.5
Teleop90.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
69%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed