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Red394
3853166.6
4125125.2
3309216.6
Blue212
5098129.1
5663177.0
170093.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302240100300500600700394212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216.60.5
214.6215.1
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
red by 39.6
5663
#20
177.01.7
173.9175.6
Auto20.8
Teleop140.5
End11.9
Second
166.61.6
162.4163.9
Auto19.6
Teleop122.8
End27.9
red by 37.5
5098
#57
129.10.1
128.8128.9
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
Third
4125
#45
125.20.3
123.7123.9
Auto17.6
Teleop97.7
End11.6
red by 32.1
1700
#51
93.11.4
95.694.2
Auto16.9
Teleop70.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed