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Red402
604169.8
3158127.1
5554183.3
Blue401
5199178.1
681497.6
3128176.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355331100200300400500600402401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#36
183.30.5
180.1180.7
Auto19.9
Teleop133.3
End29.4
red by 5.2
5199
#23
178.10.1
176.3176.3
Auto24.1
Teleop127.7
End24.4
Second
604
#31
169.80.2
168.4168.6
Auto17.6
Teleop137.8
End12.7
blue by 6.8
3128
#24
176.50.6
173.9174.5
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
Third
3158
#19
127.10.9
124.9125.8
Auto19.4
Teleop95.9
End12.7
red by 29.5
6814
#47
97.61.1
95.496.4
Auto16.3
Teleop75.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned