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Red408
2367127.6
968171.3
6508164.0
Blue281
5997147.5
7067122.9
3737153.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378325100200300400500600408281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#16
171.30.6
169.3169.9
Auto23.7
Teleop132.4
End16.2
red by 17.5
3737
#39
153.80.2
153.5153.8
Auto20.9
Teleop105.3
End26.2
Second
6508
#33
164.00.4
164.2163.8
Auto20.2
Teleop118.7
End25.0
red by 16.5
5997
#43
147.50.9
146.0146.9
Auto15.2
Teleop108.3
End23.6
Third
2367
#17
127.61.2
125.0126.2
Auto17.7
Teleop97.5
End15.4
red by 4.7
7067
#61
122.90.2
122.6122.8
Auto18.9
Teleop89.4
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed