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Red270
133198.7
172119.6
4546131.9
Blue409
5687176.9
4906139.0
4909171.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30637502006008001,000270409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#6
198.71.4
209.6208.1
Auto23.2
Teleop143.4
End32.1
red by 21.9
5687
#11
176.91.1
182.7181.6
Auto19.9
Teleop138.7
End18.9
Second
4546
#23
131.91.5
136.6138.1
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End12.3
blue by 39.1
4909
#12
171.00.7
169.6170.3
Auto19.9
Teleop125.3
End22.6
Third
172
#2
119.60.2
116.1115.9
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End9.3
blue by 19.4
4906
#10
139.00.0
134.2134.3
Auto17.2
Teleop104.1
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed