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Red343
1519183.5
319219.3
1729150.7
Blue131
4925101.4
713396.8
238172.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4581540100200300400500600700800343131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
219.30.4
217.4217.0
Auto25.4
Teleop161.2
End36.0
red by 46.8
238
#7
172.61.4
182.1180.7
Auto14.7
Teleop139.1
End19.9
Second
183.50.2
185.3185.5
Auto22.4
Teleop148.0
End11.3
red by 82.1
4925
#25
101.40.2
109.3109.5
Auto16.2
Teleop84.1
End-1.8
Third
1729
#17
150.70.2
155.5155.2
Auto17.5
Teleop119.0
End11.5
red by 53.9
7133
#20
96.80.1
100.8100.9
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
49%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed