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Red466
4564199.4
9996139.8
332391.9
Blue177
213130.3
131170.4
1831118.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3243400100200400500600700800466177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.41.7
192.6194.2
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
red by 29.0
131
#15
170.41.8
173.3175.0
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
Second
9996
#16
139.83.0
131.5134.5
Auto18.3
Teleop108.8
End7.2
red by 9.5
213
#24
130.31.1
146.0147.0
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End12.3
Third
3323
#13
91.90.8
95.294.4
Auto15.9
Teleop72.8
End3.5
blue by 26.6
118.41.4
128.5127.1
Auto17.1
Teleop91.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed