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Red289
501111.8
58147.2
2370138.7
Blue259
1922126.5
2648129.7
9997136.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352880100200400500600700289259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
147.20.4
152.9152.5
Auto19.9
Teleop112.5
End12.1
red by 10.4
9997
#14
136.82.8
117.5120.3
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End23.3
Second
2370
#18
138.70.0
147.7147.7
Auto19.7
Teleop105.0
End16.4
red by 9.0
2648
#22
129.70.1
134.0134.1
Auto14.0
Teleop101.7
End11.3
Third
501
#21
111.80.7
112.9112.2
Auto18.0
Teleop82.3
End12.6
blue by 14.6
1922
#19
126.51.6
121.3122.9
Auto19.2
Teleop91.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed