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Red105
213130.3
4925101.4
58147.2
Blue373
172119.6
1729150.7
4906139.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593200100200400500600700105373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
147.20.8
151.9151.2
Auto19.9
Teleop112.5
End12.1
blue by 3.5
1729
#17
150.70.8
154.1153.4
Auto17.5
Teleop119.0
End11.5
Second
213
#24
130.31.5
146.3144.8
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End12.3
blue by 8.7
4906
#10
139.00.2
134.8134.6
Auto17.2
Teleop104.1
End18.0
Third
4925
#25
101.41.0
109.0107.9
Auto16.2
Teleop84.1
End-1.8
blue by 18.2
172
#2
119.60.1
115.7115.7
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed