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Qual 112018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red287
9996139.8
131170.4
5687176.9
Blue347
2648129.7
5813189.0
319219.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341335250300400450500287347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#11
176.91.2
181.2→180.0
Auto19.9
Teleop138.7
End18.9
blue by 42.5
319
#1
219.30.7
215.8→215.2
Auto25.4
Teleop161.2
End36.0
Second
131
#15
170.40.0
174.8→174.8
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
blue by 18.6
5813
#3
189.00.7
185.4→186.2
Auto23.0
Teleop144.7
End21.9
Third
9996
#16
139.82.0
137.4→139.4
Auto18.3
Teleop108.8
End7.2
red by 10.2
2648
#22
129.70.2
134.2→134.4
Auto14.0
Teleop101.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned