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Qual 122018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red347
1831118.4
238172.6
1519183.5
Blue160
2370138.7
1922126.5
133198.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325330200250300350400347160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#4
183.50.8
184.7→183.9
Auto22.4
Teleop148.0
End11.3
blue by 15.2
133
#6
198.71.7
206.9→205.2
Auto23.2
Teleop143.4
End32.1
Second
238
#7
172.62.4
178.9→176.5
Auto14.7
Teleop139.1
End19.9
red by 33.8
2370
#18
138.70.9
147.5→146.6
Auto19.7
Teleop105.0
End16.4
Third
1831
#9
118.41.9
124.4→122.4
Auto17.1
Teleop91.6
End7.1
blue by 8.0
1922
#19
126.50.7
124.2→124.9
Auto19.2
Teleop91.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed