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Qual 162018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red222
1922126.5
332391.9
501111.8
Blue431
238172.6
4909171.0
131170.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1554340100200300500600700800222431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#19
126.50.2
124.9→124.8
Auto19.2
Teleop91.3
End15.1
blue by 46.1
238
#7
172.61.9
176.5→174.5
Auto14.7
Teleop139.1
End19.9
Second
501
#21
111.81.0
111.2→110.2
Auto18.0
Teleop82.3
End12.6
blue by 59.1
4909
#12
171.00.7
172.1→171.4
Auto19.9
Teleop125.3
End22.6
Third
3323
#13
91.90.7
93.4→92.7
Auto15.9
Teleop72.8
End3.5
blue by 78.5
131
#15
170.40.4
174.8→174.4
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed