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Red177
2370138.7
4564199.4
213130.3
Blue416
58147.2
319219.3
133198.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2854210100200500600700800177416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.41.4
197.6199.0
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
blue by 19.9
319
#1
219.30.4
215.2214.8
Auto25.4
Teleop161.2
End36.0
Second
2370
#18
138.71.6
146.6145.0
Auto19.7
Teleop105.0
End16.4
blue by 60.0
133
#6
198.72.3
202.9200.6
Auto23.2
Teleop143.4
End32.1
Third
213
#24
130.31.7
142.8141.0
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End12.3
blue by 16.9
58
#8
147.21.6
151.2149.6
Auto19.9
Teleop112.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed73%Face the Boss oddsEarned