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Qual 252018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red419
133198.7
4906139.0
4564199.4
Blue289
1519183.5
501111.8
131170.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792910100200500600700800419289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#5
199.40.0
199.2→199.3
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
red by 15.9
1519
#4
183.50.4
182.5→183.0
Auto22.4
Teleop148.0
End11.3
Second
133
#6
198.71.4
200.6→199.2
Auto23.2
Teleop143.4
End32.1
red by 28.3
131
#15
170.41.2
174.3→173.1
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
Third
4906
#10
139.00.8
136.4→137.2
Auto17.2
Teleop104.1
End18.0
red by 27.2
501
#21
111.80.9
110.0→110.9
Auto18.0
Teleop82.3
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed