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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red366
5813189.0
319219.3
4925101.4
Blue259
1729150.7
5687176.9
2648129.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3712520100200300400500600366259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
219.30.7
216.0→216.7
Auto25.4
Teleop161.2
End36.0
red by 42.5
5687
#11
176.90.2
177.2→177.0
Auto19.9
Teleop138.7
End18.9
Second
5813
#3
189.00.4
187.4→187.8
Auto23.0
Teleop144.7
End21.9
red by 38.3
1729
#17
150.70.5
152.1→151.6
Auto17.5
Teleop119.0
End11.5
Third
4925
#25
101.40.6
104.9→104.3
Auto16.2
Teleop84.1
End-1.8
blue by 28.3
2648
#22
129.71.0
132.5→131.4
Auto14.0
Teleop101.7
End11.3