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Red251
5813189.0
319219.3
4925101.4
Blue306
131170.4
4564199.4
213130.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3653060100200400500600251306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
219.30.5
217.9218.5
Auto25.4
Teleop161.2
End36.0
red by 19.9
199.40.0
199.7199.7
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
Second
189.00.3
188.4188.7
Auto23.0
Teleop144.7
End21.9
red by 18.6
131
#15
170.40.4
172.3171.9
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
Third
4925
#25
101.40.6
103.0102.5
Auto16.2
Teleop84.1
End-1.8
blue by 28.9
213
#24
130.31.1
135.4134.3
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End12.3