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Red142
4906139.0
2370138.7
4546131.9
Blue377
2648129.7
4564199.4
1729150.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26639202006008001,000142377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#10
139.00.6
134.3134.8
Auto17.2
Teleop104.1
End18.0
blue by 60.4
199.41.8
194.2196.1
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
Second
2370
#18
138.70.2
147.7147.5
Auto19.7
Teleop105.0
End16.4
blue by 12.0
1729
#17
150.71.1
155.2154.1
Auto17.5
Teleop119.0
End11.5
Third
4546
#23
131.91.1
138.1139.3
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End12.3
red by 2.2
2648
#22
129.70.1
134.1134.2
Auto14.0
Teleop101.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed